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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League One · Regular Season - 46

Kick-off

Sat 3 May 2025

15:00

Venue

Toughsheet Community Stadium

Competition

League One

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Bolton Win

42%

Bolton

2.36

31%

Draw

3.26

27%

Stevenage

3.70

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

14.8%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

13.2%

Draw

0 – 0

12.4%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.19

Bolton xG

Total xG

2.09

0.90

Stevenage xG

42%
31%
27%
BoltonDrawStevenage

2.36

42%

Home win

3.26

31%

Draw

3.70

27%

Away win

Goals Markets

62%

Over 1.5

1.61

38%

Under 1.5

2.63

35%

Over 2.5

2.86

65%

Under 2.5

1.54

16%

Over 3.5

6.25

84%

Under 3.5

1.19

6%

Over 4.5

16.67

94%

Under 4.5

1.06

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

42%

BTTS Yes

2.40

58%

BTTS No

1.72

Clean Sheet

41%

Bolton

2.45

30%

Stevenage

3.30

Win to Nil

17%

Bolton

5.78

8%

Stevenage

12.22

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 12.4 11.1 5.0 1.5 0.3 0.1
1 14.8 13.2 5.9 1.8 0.4 0.1
2 8.8 7.9 3.5 1.1 0.2
3 3.5 3.1 1.4 0.4 0.1
4 1.0 0.9 0.4 0.1
5 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.194
λ Away (xG) 0.895
Total xG 2.089
League avg home goals 1.296
League avg away goals 1.174
Bolton attack strength 1.048
Bolton defence strength 1.098
Stevenage attack strength 0.694
Stevenage defence strength 0.879
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 91 / 91