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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League One · Regular Season - 22

Kick-off

Fri 26 Dec 2025

15:00

Venue

Toughsheet Community Stadium

Competition

League One

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Bolton Win

58%

Bolton

1.72

26%

Draw

3.79

16%

Rotherham

6.44

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

18.2%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

13.4%

Home win

0 – 0

12.3%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.48

Bolton xG

Total xG

2.10

0.62

Rotherham xG

58%
26%
16%
BoltonDrawRotherham

1.72

58%

Home win

3.79

26%

Draw

6.44

16%

Away win

Goals Markets

62%

Over 1.5

1.61

38%

Under 1.5

2.63

35%

Over 2.5

2.86

65%

Under 2.5

1.54

16%

Over 3.5

6.25

84%

Under 3.5

1.19

6%

Over 4.5

16.67

94%

Under 4.5

1.06

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

36%

BTTS Yes

2.81

64%

BTTS No

1.55

Clean Sheet

54%

Bolton

1.86

23%

Rotherham

4.38

Win to Nil

31%

Bolton

3.20

4%

Rotherham

28.20

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 12.3 7.6 2.4 0.5 0.1
1 18.2 11.2 3.5 0.7 0.1
2 13.4 8.3 2.6 0.5 0.1
3 6.6 4.1 1.3 0.3
4 2.4 1.5 0.5 0.1
5 0.7 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.477
λ Away (xG) 0.619
Total xG 2.096
League avg home goals 1.292
League avg away goals 1.157
Bolton attack strength 1.247
Bolton defence strength 0.751
Rotherham attack strength 0.712
Rotherham defence strength 0.916
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 66 / 67