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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Bolton Win
52%
1.91
28%
3.60
20%
5.04
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 0
16.7%
Home win
Most likely
1 – 1
12.2%
Draw
0 – 0
12.1%
Draw
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.38
Bolton xG
Total xG
2.11
0.73
Port Vale xG
BoltonDrawPort Vale
1.91
52%
Home win
3.60
28%
Draw
5.04
20%
Away win
Goals Markets
62%
Over 1.5
1.61
38%
Under 1.5
2.63
35%
Over 2.5
2.86
65%
Under 2.5
1.54
16%
Over 3.5
6.25
84%
Under 3.5
1.19
6%
Over 4.5
16.67
94%
Under 4.5
1.06
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
39%
BTTS Yes
2.58
61%
BTTS No
1.63
Clean Sheet
48%
2.08
25%
3.97
Win to Nil
25%
3.96
5%
20.00
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 12.1 | 8.9 | 3.2 | 0.8 | 0.1 | – |
| 1 | 16.7 | 12.2 | 4.5 | 1.1 | 0.2 | – |
| 2 | 11.5 | 8.4 | 3.1 | 0.7 | 0.1 | – |
| 3 | 5.3 | 3.9 | 1.4 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – |
| 4 | 1.8 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 0.1 | – | – |
| 5 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.1 | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.378
λ Away (xG)
0.730
Total xG
2.108
League avg home goals
1.287
League avg away goals
1.070
Bolton attack strength
1.253
Bolton defence strength
0.827
Port Vale attack strength
0.826
Port Vale defence strength
0.854
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
60 / 14