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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League One · Regular Season - 2

Kick-off

Sat 9 Aug 2025

15:00

Venue

Toughsheet Community Stadium

Competition

League One

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Bolton Win

50%

Bolton

2.00

26%

Draw

3.91

24%

Plymouth

4.10

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

12.2%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.1%

Draw

2 – 0

9.4%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.54

Bolton xG

Total xG

2.54

1.00

Plymouth xG

50%
26%
24%
BoltonDrawPlymouth

2.00

50%

Home win

3.91

26%

Draw

4.10

24%

Away win

Goals Markets

72%

Over 1.5

1.39

28%

Under 1.5

3.57

47%

Over 2.5

2.13

53%

Under 2.5

1.89

25%

Over 3.5

4.00

75%

Under 3.5

1.33

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

50%

BTTS Yes

2.02

50%

BTTS No

1.98

Clean Sheet

37%

Bolton

2.71

21%

Plymouth

4.69

Win to Nil

18%

Bolton

5.41

5%

Plymouth

19.21

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.9 7.8 3.9 1.3 0.3 0.1
1 12.2 12.1 6.0 2.0 0.5 0.1
2 9.4 9.4 4.7 1.5 0.4 0.1
3 4.8 4.8 2.4 0.8 0.2
4 1.9 1.9 0.9 0.3 0.1
5 0.6 0.6 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.545
λ Away (xG) 0.996
Total xG 2.541
League avg home goals 1.316
League avg away goals 1.139
Bolton attack strength 1.021
Bolton defence strength 1.029
Plymouth attack strength 0.850
Plymouth defence strength 1.150
Data phase Blended
Games used (H/A) 47 / 1