Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League One · Regular Season - 11

Kick-off

Sat 4 Oct 2025

15:00

Venue

Toughsheet Community Stadium

Competition

League One

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Bolton Win

66%

Bolton

1.50

20%

Draw

5.10

14%

Peterborough

7.18

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 0

11.6%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 0

11.1%

Home win

2 – 1

9.8%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.10

Bolton xG

Total xG

2.94

0.84

Peterborough xG

66%
20%
14%
BoltonDrawPeterborough

1.50

66%

Home win

5.10

20%

Draw

7.18

14%

Away win

Goals Markets

79%

Over 1.5

1.27

21%

Under 1.5

4.76

56%

Over 2.5

1.79

44%

Under 2.5

2.27

34%

Over 3.5

2.94

66%

Under 3.5

1.52

18%

Over 4.5

5.56

82%

Under 4.5

1.22

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

50%

BTTS Yes

2.00

50%

BTTS No

2.00

Clean Sheet

43%

Bolton

2.32

12%

Peterborough

8.18

Win to Nil

29%

Bolton

3.49

2%

Peterborough

58.74

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.3 4.4 1.9 0.5 0.1
1 11.1 9.3 3.9 1.1 0.2
2 11.6 9.8 4.1 1.2 0.2
3 8.2 6.9 2.9 0.8 0.2
4 4.3 3.6 1.5 0.4 0.1
5 1.8 1.5 0.6 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.102
λ Away (xG) 0.842
Total xG 2.944
League avg home goals 1.364
League avg away goals 1.118
Bolton attack strength 1.238
Bolton defence strength 0.827
Peterborough attack strength 0.910
Peterborough defence strength 1.244
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 56 / 56