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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League One · Regular Season - 5

Kick-off

Sat 23 Aug 2025

15:00

Venue

Toughsheet Community Stadium

Competition

League One

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Bolton Win

46%

Bolton

2.16

28%

Draw

3.58

26%

Lincoln

3.88

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

14.0%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.9%

Draw

0 – 0

10.5%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.33

Bolton xG

Total xG

2.25

0.92

Lincoln xG

46%
28%
26%
BoltonDrawLincoln

2.16

46%

Home win

3.58

28%

Draw

3.88

26%

Away win

Goals Markets

66%

Over 1.5

1.52

34%

Under 1.5

2.94

39%

Over 2.5

2.56

61%

Under 2.5

1.64

19%

Over 3.5

5.26

81%

Under 3.5

1.23

8%

Over 4.5

12.50

92%

Under 4.5

1.09

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

44%

BTTS Yes

2.26

56%

BTTS No

1.80

Clean Sheet

40%

Bolton

2.51

26%

Lincoln

3.80

Win to Nil

18%

Bolton

5.42

7%

Lincoln

14.73

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.5 9.6 4.4 1.4 0.3 0.1
1 14.0 12.9 5.9 1.8 0.4 0.1
2 9.3 8.6 4.0 1.2 0.3 0.1
3 4.2 3.8 1.8 0.5 0.1
4 1.4 1.3 0.6 0.2
5 0.4 0.3 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.335
λ Away (xG) 0.920
Total xG 2.255
League avg home goals 1.306
League avg away goals 1.083
Bolton attack strength 1.005
Bolton defence strength 0.927
Lincoln attack strength 0.916
Lincoln defence strength 1.017
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 50 / 50