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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League One · Regular Season - 31

Kick-off

Sat 8 Feb 2025

15:00

Venue

Toughsheet Community Stadium

Competition

League One

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Bolton Win

63%

Bolton

1.58

19%

Draw

5.20

18%

Crawley Town

5.68

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

9.7%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

8.7%

Home win

1 – 1

8.6%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.26

Bolton xG

Total xG

3.38

1.12

Crawley Town xG

63%
19%
18%
BoltonDrawCrawley Town

1.58

63%

Home win

5.20

19%

Draw

5.68

18%

Away win

Goals Markets

85%

Over 1.5

1.18

15%

Under 1.5

6.67

66%

Over 2.5

1.52

34%

Under 2.5

2.94

44%

Over 3.5

2.27

56%

Under 3.5

1.79

25%

Over 4.5

4.00

75%

Under 4.5

1.33

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

60%

BTTS Yes

1.66

40%

BTTS No

2.52

Clean Sheet

33%

Bolton

3.06

10%

Crawley Town

9.62

Win to Nil

21%

Bolton

4.85

2%

Crawley Town

54.64

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.4 3.8 2.1 0.8 0.2
1 7.7 8.6 4.8 1.8 0.5 0.1
2 8.7 9.7 5.4 2.0 0.6 0.1
3 6.6 7.3 4.1 1.5 0.4 0.1
4 3.7 4.2 2.3 0.9 0.2 0.1
5 1.7 1.9 1.1 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.264
λ Away (xG) 1.119
Total xG 3.383
League avg home goals 1.306
League avg away goals 1.180
Bolton attack strength 1.205
Bolton defence strength 1.171
Crawley Town attack strength 0.810
Crawley Town defence strength 1.438
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 75 / 27