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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League One · Regular Season - 14

Kick-off

Sat 25 Oct 2025

12:30

Venue

Toughsheet Community Stadium

Competition

League One

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Bolton Win

45%

Bolton

2.20

29%

Draw

3.46

26%

Cardiff

3.89

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

14.9%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

13.0%

Draw

0 – 0

11.8%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.26

Bolton xG

Total xG

2.14

0.87

Cardiff xG

45%
29%
26%
BoltonDrawCardiff

2.20

45%

Home win

3.46

29%

Draw

3.89

26%

Away win

Goals Markets

63%

Over 1.5

1.59

37%

Under 1.5

2.70

36%

Over 2.5

2.78

64%

Under 2.5

1.56

17%

Over 3.5

5.88

83%

Under 3.5

1.20

7%

Over 4.5

14.29

93%

Under 4.5

1.08

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

42%

BTTS Yes

2.39

58%

BTTS No

1.72

Clean Sheet

42%

Bolton

2.40

28%

Cardiff

3.53

Win to Nil

19%

Bolton

5.28

7%

Cardiff

13.73

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 11.8 10.3 4.5 1.3 0.3 0.1
1 14.9 13.0 5.7 1.7 0.4 0.1
2 9.4 8.2 3.6 1.0 0.2
3 4.0 3.5 1.5 0.4 0.1
4 1.2 1.1 0.5 0.1
5 0.3 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.262
λ Away (xG) 0.874
Total xG 2.136
League avg home goals 1.323
League avg away goals 1.094
Bolton attack strength 1.262
Bolton defence strength 0.868
Cardiff attack strength 0.921
Cardiff defence strength 0.756
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 59 / 12