Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League One · Regular Season - 29

Kick-off

Tue 27 Jan 2026

19:45

Venue

Toughsheet Community Stadium

Competition

League One

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Bolton Win

58%

Bolton

1.72

25%

Draw

4.03

17%

Burton Albion

5.89

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

15.5%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

12.4%

Home win

1 – 1

11.4%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.60

Bolton xG

Total xG

2.34

0.73

Burton Albion xG

58%
25%
17%
BoltonDrawBurton Albion

1.72

58%

Home win

4.03

25%

Draw

5.89

17%

Away win

Goals Markets

68%

Over 1.5

1.47

32%

Under 1.5

3.12

41%

Over 2.5

2.44

59%

Under 2.5

1.69

21%

Over 3.5

4.76

79%

Under 3.5

1.27

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

42%

BTTS Yes

2.40

58%

BTTS No

1.71

Clean Sheet

48%

Bolton

2.09

20%

Burton Albion

4.97

Win to Nil

28%

Bolton

3.59

3%

Burton Albion

29.27

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.6 7.1 2.6 0.6 0.1
1 15.5 11.4 4.2 1.0 0.2
2 12.4 9.1 3.4 0.8 0.2
3 6.6 4.9 1.8 0.4 0.1
4 2.7 2.0 0.7 0.2
5 0.9 0.6 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.604
λ Away (xG) 0.735
Total xG 2.339
League avg home goals 1.371
League avg away goals 1.106
Bolton attack strength 1.011
Bolton defence strength 0.773
Burton Albion attack strength 0.861
Burton Albion defence strength 1.156
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 74 / 72