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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League One · Regular Season - 7

Kick-off

Sat 6 Sep 2025

15:00

Venue

Toughsheet Community Stadium

Competition

League One

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Bolton Win

51%

Bolton

1.95

25%

Draw

3.97

24%

AFC Wimbledon

4.24

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

12.2%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.0%

Draw

2 – 0

9.6%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.58

Bolton xG

Total xG

2.56

0.98

AFC Wimbledon xG

51%
25%
24%
BoltonDrawAFC Wimbledon

1.95

51%

Home win

3.97

25%

Draw

4.24

24%

Away win

Goals Markets

73%

Over 1.5

1.37

27%

Under 1.5

3.70

47%

Over 2.5

2.13

53%

Under 2.5

1.89

26%

Over 3.5

3.85

74%

Under 3.5

1.35

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

50%

BTTS Yes

2.01

50%

BTTS No

1.99

Clean Sheet

37%

Bolton

2.68

21%

AFC Wimbledon

4.85

Win to Nil

19%

Bolton

5.22

5%

AFC Wimbledon

20.60

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.7 7.6 3.7 1.2 0.3 0.1
1 12.2 12.0 5.9 1.9 0.5 0.1
2 9.6 9.5 4.7 1.5 0.4 0.1
3 5.1 5.0 2.5 0.8 0.2
4 2.0 2.0 1.0 0.3 0.1
5 0.6 0.6 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.580
λ Away (xG) 0.984
Total xG 2.564
League avg home goals 1.337
League avg away goals 1.022
Bolton attack strength 0.948
Bolton defence strength 0.962
AFC Wimbledon attack strength 1.002
AFC Wimbledon defence strength 1.247
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 52 / 6