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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Birmingham Win
82%
1.22
11%
9.06
7%
14.88
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
3 – 0
9.1%
Home win
Most likely
2 – 0
8.4%
Home win
3 – 1
8.1%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
3.24
Birmingham xG
Total xG
4.14
0.90
Crawley Town xG
BirminghamDrawCrawley Town
1.22
82%
Home win
9.06
11%
Draw
14.88
7%
Away win
Goals Markets
92%
Over 1.5
1.09
8%
Under 1.5
12.50
78%
Over 2.5
1.28
22%
Under 2.5
4.55
59%
Over 3.5
1.69
41%
Under 3.5
2.44
40%
Over 4.5
2.50
60%
Under 4.5
1.67
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
57%
BTTS Yes
1.76
43%
BTTS No
2.32
Clean Sheet
41%
2.45
4%
25.58
Win to Nil
34%
2.98
0%
–
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1.6 | 1.4 | 0.6 | 0.2 | – | – |
| 1 | 5.2 | 4.6 | 2.1 | 0.6 | 0.1 | – |
| 2 | 8.4 | 7.5 | 3.4 | 1.0 | 0.2 | – |
| 3 | 9.1 | 8.1 | 3.6 | 1.1 | 0.2 | – |
| 4 | 7.4 | 6.6 | 2.9 | 0.9 | 0.2 | – |
| 5 | 4.8 | 4.3 | 1.9 | 0.6 | 0.1 | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
3.242
λ Away (xG)
0.895
Total xG
4.137
League avg home goals
1.277
League avg away goals
1.124
Birmingham attack strength
1.488
Birmingham defence strength
0.730
Crawley Town attack strength
1.090
Crawley Town defence strength
1.705
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
40 / 42