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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League One · Regular Season - 10

Kick-off

Sat 27 Sep 2025

15:00

Venue

Oakwell

Competition

League One

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Barnsley Win

51%

Barnsley

1.96

25%

Draw

4.00

24%

Port Vale

4.19

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.9%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.8%

Home win

2 – 1

9.5%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.60

Barnsley xG

Total xG

2.61

1.01

Port Vale xG

51%
25%
24%
BarnsleyDrawPort Vale

1.96

51%

Home win

4.00

25%

Draw

4.19

24%

Away win

Goals Markets

73%

Over 1.5

1.37

27%

Under 1.5

3.70

48%

Over 2.5

2.08

52%

Under 2.5

1.92

27%

Over 3.5

3.70

73%

Under 3.5

1.37

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

51%

BTTS Yes

1.97

49%

BTTS No

2.03

Clean Sheet

36%

Barnsley

2.74

20%

Port Vale

4.95

Win to Nil

19%

Barnsley

5.37

5%

Port Vale

20.71

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.4 7.4 3.8 1.3 0.3 0.1
1 11.8 11.9 6.0 2.0 0.5 0.1
2 9.4 9.5 4.8 1.6 0.4 0.1
3 5.0 5.1 2.6 0.9 0.2
4 2.0 2.0 1.0 0.3 0.1
5 0.6 0.6 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.599
λ Away (xG) 1.009
Total xG 2.608
League avg home goals 1.425
League avg away goals 1.072
Barnsley attack strength 1.277
Barnsley defence strength 1.199
Port Vale attack strength 0.785
Port Vale defence strength 0.878
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 54 / 9