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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League One · Regular Season - 25

Kick-off

Sat 4 Jan 2025

15:00

Venue

Oakwell

Competition

League One

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Barnsley Win

50%

Barnsley

2.00

22%

Draw

4.63

28%

Crawley Town

3.52

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

9.1%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.1%

Home win

1 – 2

6.7%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.00

Barnsley xG

Total xG

3.48

1.47

Crawley Town xG

50%
22%
28%
BarnsleyDrawCrawley Town

2.00

50%

Home win

4.63

22%

Draw

3.52

28%

Away win

Goals Markets

86%

Over 1.5

1.16

14%

Under 1.5

7.14

67%

Over 2.5

1.49

33%

Under 2.5

3.03

46%

Over 3.5

2.17

54%

Under 3.5

1.85

27%

Over 4.5

3.70

73%

Under 4.5

1.37

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

67%

BTTS Yes

1.50

33%

BTTS No

3.00

Clean Sheet

23%

Barnsley

4.36

13%

Crawley Town

7.41

Win to Nil

11%

Barnsley

8.71

4%

Crawley Town

26.11

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.1 4.6 3.4 1.6 0.6 0.2
1 6.2 9.1 6.7 3.3 1.2 0.4
2 6.2 9.1 6.7 3.3 1.2 0.4
3 4.1 6.1 4.5 2.2 0.8 0.2
4 2.1 3.1 2.2 1.1 0.4 0.1
5 0.8 1.2 0.9 0.4 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.003
λ Away (xG) 1.472
Total xG 3.475
League avg home goals 1.277
League avg away goals 1.174
Barnsley attack strength 1.036
Barnsley defence strength 1.305
Crawley Town attack strength 0.961
Crawley Town defence strength 1.515
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 70 / 22