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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League One · Regular Season - 3

Kick-off

Sat 16 Aug 2025

15:00

Venue

Oakwell

Competition

League One

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Barnsley Win

49%

Barnsley

2.02

24%

Draw

4.14

26%

Bolton

3.79

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.9%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.6%

Home win

1 – 0

8.8%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.76

Barnsley xG

Total xG

3.00

1.23

Bolton xG

49%
24%
26%
BarnsleyDrawBolton

2.02

49%

Home win

4.14

24%

Draw

3.79

26%

Away win

Goals Markets

80%

Over 1.5

1.25

20%

Under 1.5

5.00

58%

Over 2.5

1.72

42%

Under 2.5

2.38

35%

Over 3.5

2.86

65%

Under 3.5

1.54

18%

Over 4.5

5.56

82%

Under 4.5

1.22

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

59%

BTTS Yes

1.69

41%

BTTS No

2.44

Clean Sheet

29%

Barnsley

3.43

17%

Bolton

5.83

Win to Nil

14%

Barnsley

6.93

5%

Bolton

22.12

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.0 6.2 3.8 1.6 0.5 0.1
1 8.8 10.9 6.7 2.7 0.8 0.2
2 7.8 9.6 5.9 2.4 0.7 0.2
3 4.6 5.6 3.5 1.4 0.4 0.1
4 2.0 2.5 1.5 0.6 0.2
5 0.7 0.9 0.5 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.763
λ Away (xG) 1.232
Total xG 2.995
League avg home goals 1.327
League avg away goals 1.082
Barnsley attack strength 1.176
Barnsley defence strength 1.221
Bolton attack strength 0.933
Bolton defence strength 1.130
Data phase Blended
Games used (H/A) 48 / 48