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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League One · Regular Season - 42

Kick-off

Sat 12 Apr 2025

15:00

Venue

Oakwell

Competition

League One

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Bolton Win

31%

Barnsley

3.23

24%

Draw

4.12

45%

Bolton

2.23

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.3%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

9.2%

Away win

0 – 1

8.6%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.31

Barnsley xG

Total xG

2.94

1.62

Bolton xG

31%
24%
45%
BarnsleyDrawBolton

3.23

31%

Home win

4.12

24%

Draw

2.23

45%

Away win

Goals Markets

79%

Over 1.5

1.27

21%

Under 1.5

4.76

56%

Over 2.5

1.79

44%

Under 2.5

2.27

34%

Over 3.5

2.94

66%

Under 3.5

1.52

17%

Over 4.5

5.88

83%

Under 4.5

1.20

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

59%

BTTS Yes

1.70

41%

BTTS No

2.42

Clean Sheet

20%

Barnsley

5.08

27%

Bolton

3.72

Win to Nil

6%

Barnsley

16.40

12%

Bolton

8.30

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.3 8.6 7.0 3.8 1.5 0.5
1 7.0 11.3 9.2 5.0 2.0 0.7
2 4.6 7.4 6.0 3.3 1.3 0.4
3 2.0 3.2 2.6 1.4 0.6 0.2
4 0.7 1.1 0.9 0.5 0.2 0.1
5 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.313
λ Away (xG) 1.625
Total xG 2.938
League avg home goals 1.272
League avg away goals 1.135
Barnsley attack strength 0.964
Barnsley defence strength 1.358
Bolton attack strength 1.054
Bolton defence strength 1.071
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 87 / 87