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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League One · Regular Season - 12

Kick-off

Sat 11 Oct 2025

15:00

Venue

The Cherry Red Records Stadium

Competition

League One

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

AFC Wimbledon Win

41%

AFC Wimbledon

2.44

30%

Draw

3.29

29%

Port Vale

3.49

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

15.0%

Home win

Most likely

0 – 0

13.3%

Draw

1 – 1

13.3%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.13

AFC Wimbledon xG

Total xG

2.02

0.89

Port Vale xG

41%
30%
29%
AFC WimbledonDrawPort Vale

2.44

41%

Home win

3.29

30%

Draw

3.49

29%

Away win

Goals Markets

60%

Over 1.5

1.67

40%

Under 1.5

2.50

33%

Over 2.5

3.03

67%

Under 2.5

1.49

15%

Over 3.5

6.67

85%

Under 3.5

1.18

5%

Over 4.5

20.00

95%

Under 4.5

1.05

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

40%

BTTS Yes

2.51

60%

BTTS No

1.66

Clean Sheet

41%

AFC Wimbledon

2.44

32%

Port Vale

3.09

Win to Nil

17%

AFC Wimbledon

5.96

9%

Port Vale

10.76

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 13.3 11.8 5.3 1.6 0.3 0.1
1 15.0 13.3 5.9 1.8 0.4 0.1
2 8.4 7.5 3.4 1.0 0.2
3 3.2 2.8 1.3 0.4 0.1
4 0.9 0.8 0.4 0.1
5 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.127
λ Away (xG) 0.891
Total xG 2.018
League avg home goals 1.340
League avg away goals 1.133
AFC Wimbledon attack strength 1.063
AFC Wimbledon defence strength 0.923
Port Vale attack strength 0.853
Port Vale defence strength 0.792
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 11 / 11