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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Regular Season - 38

Kick-off

Fri 13 Mar 2026

20:00

Venue

Racecourse Ground

Competition

Championship

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Wrexham Win

48%

Wrexham

2.06

25%

Draw

4.06

27%

Swansea

3.72

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.5%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.5%

Home win

1 – 0

8.0%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.81

Wrexham xG

Total xG

3.12

1.31

Swansea xG

48%
25%
27%
WrexhamDrawSwansea

2.06

48%

Home win

4.06

25%

Draw

3.72

27%

Away win

Goals Markets

82%

Over 1.5

1.22

18%

Under 1.5

5.56

60%

Over 2.5

1.67

40%

Under 2.5

2.50

38%

Over 3.5

2.63

62%

Under 3.5

1.61

21%

Over 4.5

4.76

79%

Under 4.5

1.27

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

62%

BTTS Yes

1.62

38%

BTTS No

2.63

Clean Sheet

27%

Wrexham

3.70

16%

Swansea

6.13

Win to Nil

13%

Wrexham

7.63

4%

Swansea

22.81

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.4 5.8 3.8 1.6 0.5 0.1
1 8.0 10.5 6.8 3.0 1.0 0.3
2 7.2 9.5 6.2 2.7 0.9 0.2
3 4.4 5.7 3.7 1.6 0.5 0.1
4 2.0 2.6 1.7 0.7 0.2 0.1
5 0.7 0.9 0.6 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.813
λ Away (xG) 1.308
Total xG 3.121
League avg home goals 1.294
League avg away goals 1.197
Wrexham attack strength 1.239
Wrexham defence strength 1.286
Swansea attack strength 0.850
Swansea defence strength 1.131
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 36 / 83