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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Regular Season - 43

Kick-off

Sat 18 Apr 2026

15:00

Venue

Racecourse Ground

Competition

Championship

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Wrexham Win

46%

Wrexham

2.16

28%

Draw

3.60

26%

Stoke City

3.85

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.7%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.1%

Home win

2 – 1

9.4%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.60

Wrexham xG

Total xG

2.76

1.16

Stoke City xG

46%
28%
26%
WrexhamDrawStoke City

2.16

46%

Home win

3.60

28%

Draw

3.85

26%

Away win

Goals Markets

76%

Over 1.5

1.32

24%

Under 1.5

4.17

52%

Over 2.5

1.92

48%

Under 2.5

2.08

30%

Over 3.5

3.33

70%

Under 3.5

1.43

15%

Over 4.5

6.67

85%

Under 4.5

1.18

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

56%

BTTS Yes

1.77

44%

BTTS No

2.29

Clean Sheet

31%

Wrexham

3.18

20%

Stoke City

4.98

Win to Nil

15%

Wrexham

6.89

5%

Stoke City

19.15

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.3 7.3 4.2 1.6 0.5 0.1
1 10.1 11.7 6.8 2.6 0.8 0.2
2 8.1 9.4 5.4 2.1 0.6 0.1
3 4.3 5.0 2.9 1.1 0.3 0.1
4 1.7 2.0 1.2 0.5 0.1
5 0.6 0.6 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.605
λ Away (xG) 1.158
Total xG 2.763
League avg home goals 1.276
League avg away goals 1.150
Wrexham attack strength 1.165
Wrexham defence strength 1.437
Stoke City attack strength 0.701
Stoke City defence strength 1.079
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 42 / 88