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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Regular Season - 46

Kick-off

Sat 2 May 2026

12:30

Venue

Racecourse Ground

Competition

Championship

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Middlesbrough Win

27%

Wrexham

3.70

24%

Draw

4.19

49%

Middlesbrough

2.04

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 2

9.1%

Away win

Most likely

1 – 1

9.0%

Draw

2 – 2

6.8%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.49

Wrexham xG

Total xG

3.51

2.03

Middlesbrough xG

27%
24%
49%
WrexhamDrawMiddlesbrough

3.70

27%

Home win

4.19

24%

Draw

2.04

49%

Away win

Goals Markets

87%

Over 1.5

1.15

13%

Under 1.5

7.69

68%

Over 2.5

1.47

32%

Under 2.5

3.12

47%

Over 3.5

2.13

53%

Under 3.5

1.89

28%

Over 4.5

3.57

72%

Under 4.5

1.39

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

68%

BTTS Yes

1.46

32%

BTTS No

3.16

Clean Sheet

13%

Wrexham

7.61

23%

Middlesbrough

4.41

Win to Nil

4%

Wrexham

28.17

11%

Middlesbrough

8.99

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.0 6.0 6.1 4.1 2.1 0.9
1 4.4 9.0 9.1 6.2 3.1 1.3
2 3.3 6.7 6.8 4.6 2.3 0.9
3 1.6 3.3 3.3 2.3 1.1 0.5
4 0.6 1.2 1.2 0.8 0.4 0.2
5 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.485
λ Away (xG) 2.030
Total xG 3.515
League avg home goals 1.311
League avg away goals 1.204
Wrexham attack strength 1.155
Wrexham defence strength 1.311
Middlesbrough attack strength 1.286
Middlesbrough defence strength 0.980
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 45 / 91