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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Regular Season - 5

Kick-off

Sat 13 Sep 2025

15:00

Venue

The Hawthorns

Competition

Championship

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

West Brom Win

48%

West Brom

2.06

25%

Draw

4.07

27%

Derby

3.71

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.7%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.1%

Home win

2 – 1

9.5%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.62

West Brom xG

Total xG

2.77

1.15

Derby xG

48%
25%
27%
West BromDrawDerby

2.06

48%

Home win

4.07

25%

Draw

3.71

27%

Away win

Goals Markets

76%

Over 1.5

1.32

24%

Under 1.5

4.17

52%

Over 2.5

1.92

48%

Under 2.5

2.08

30%

Over 3.5

3.33

70%

Under 3.5

1.43

15%

Over 4.5

6.67

85%

Under 4.5

1.18

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

55%

BTTS Yes

1.82

45%

BTTS No

2.22

Clean Sheet

32%

West Brom

3.16

20%

Derby

5.08

Win to Nil

15%

West Brom

6.51

5%

Derby

18.83

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.2 7.2 4.1 1.6 0.5 0.1
1 10.1 11.7 6.7 2.6 0.7 0.2
2 8.2 9.5 5.4 2.1 0.6 0.1
3 4.5 5.1 2.9 1.1 0.3 0.1
4 1.8 2.1 1.2 0.5 0.1
5 0.6 0.7 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.625
λ Away (xG) 1.149
Total xG 2.774
League avg home goals 1.342
League avg away goals 1.201
West Brom attack strength 1.032
West Brom defence strength 0.899
Derby attack strength 1.064
Derby defence strength 1.173
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 50 / 50