Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Regular Season - 44

Kick-off

Mon 21 Apr 2025

15:00

Venue

The Hawthorns

Competition

Championship

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

West Brom Win

59%

West Brom

1.69

24%

Draw

4.21

17%

Derby

5.84

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

14.1%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

12.0%

Home win

1 – 1

11.1%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.70

West Brom xG

Total xG

2.49

0.79

Derby xG

59%
24%
17%
West BromDrawDerby

1.69

59%

Home win

4.21

24%

Draw

5.84

17%

Away win

Goals Markets

71%

Over 1.5

1.41

29%

Under 1.5

3.45

45%

Over 2.5

2.22

55%

Under 2.5

1.82

24%

Over 3.5

4.17

76%

Under 3.5

1.32

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

45%

BTTS Yes

2.24

55%

BTTS No

1.81

Clean Sheet

45%

West Brom

2.20

18%

Derby

5.49

Win to Nil

27%

West Brom

3.72

3%

Derby

32.09

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.3 6.5 2.6 0.7 0.1
1 14.1 11.1 4.4 1.2 0.2
2 12.0 9.5 3.7 1.0 0.2
3 6.8 5.4 2.1 0.6 0.1
4 2.9 2.3 0.9 0.2
5 1.0 0.8 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.703
λ Away (xG) 0.789
Total xG 2.492
League avg home goals 1.284
League avg away goals 1.000
West Brom attack strength 1.053
West Brom defence strength 0.892
Derby attack strength 0.885
Derby defence strength 1.259
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 89 / 43