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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Regular Season - 28

Kick-off

Wed 21 Jan 2026

19:45

Venue

Vicarage Road

Competition

Championship

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Watford Win

63%

Watford

1.58

23%

Draw

4.38

14%

Portsmouth

7.20

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

13.2%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

12.5%

Home win

1 – 1

10.2%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.89

Watford xG

Total xG

2.66

0.77

Portsmouth xG

63%
23%
14%
WatfordDrawPortsmouth

1.58

63%

Home win

4.38

23%

Draw

7.20

14%

Away win

Goals Markets

74%

Over 1.5

1.35

26%

Under 1.5

3.85

50%

Over 2.5

2.00

50%

Under 2.5

2.00

28%

Over 3.5

3.57

72%

Under 3.5

1.39

13%

Over 4.5

7.69

87%

Under 4.5

1.15

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

46%

BTTS Yes

2.16

54%

BTTS No

1.86

Clean Sheet

46%

Watford

2.16

15%

Portsmouth

6.65

Win to Nil

29%

Watford

3.41

2%

Portsmouth

47.88

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.0 5.4 2.1 0.5 0.1
1 13.2 10.2 3.9 1.0 0.2
2 12.5 9.6 3.7 1.0 0.2
3 7.9 6.1 2.3 0.6 0.1
4 3.7 2.9 1.1 0.3 0.1
5 1.4 1.1 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.894
λ Away (xG) 0.770
Total xG 2.664
League avg home goals 1.343
League avg away goals 1.149
Watford attack strength 1.083
Watford defence strength 0.951
Portsmouth attack strength 0.705
Portsmouth defence strength 1.302
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 72 / 71