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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Watford Win
57%
1.74
27%
3.72
16%
6.40
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 0
14.6%
Home win
Most likely
2 – 0
12.2%
Home win
1 – 1
11.2%
Draw
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.67
Watford xG
Total xG
2.44
0.77
Cardiff xG
WatfordDrawCardiff
1.74
57%
Home win
3.72
27%
Draw
6.40
16%
Away win
Goals Markets
70%
Over 1.5
1.43
30%
Under 1.5
3.33
44%
Over 2.5
2.27
56%
Under 2.5
1.79
23%
Over 3.5
4.35
77%
Under 3.5
1.30
10%
Over 4.5
10.00
90%
Under 4.5
1.11
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
45%
BTTS Yes
2.23
55%
BTTS No
1.82
Clean Sheet
46%
2.16
19%
5.31
Win to Nil
27%
3.75
3%
33.97
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8.7 | 6.7 | 2.6 | 0.7 | 0.1 | – |
| 1 | 14.6 | 11.2 | 4.3 | 1.1 | 0.2 | – |
| 2 | 12.2 | 9.4 | 3.6 | 0.9 | 0.2 | – |
| 3 | 6.8 | 5.2 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 0.1 | – |
| 4 | 2.8 | 2.2 | 0.8 | 0.2 | – | – |
| 5 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.669
λ Away (xG)
0.769
Total xG
2.438
League avg home goals
1.428
League avg away goals
1.035
Watford attack strength
0.954
Watford defence strength
0.759
Cardiff attack strength
0.979
Cardiff defence strength
1.226
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
68 / 68