Swansea vs Sunderland – Predictions
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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Sunderland Win
31%
3.27
34%
2.98
36%
2.79
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
13.4%
Draw
Most likely
0 – 1
13.0%
Away win
1 – 0
11.8%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.03
Swansea xG
Total xG
2.17
1.14
Sunderland xG
SwanseaDrawSunderland
3.27
31%
Home win
2.98
34%
Draw
2.79
36%
Away win
Goals Markets
64%
Over 1.5
1.56
36%
Under 1.5
2.78
37%
Over 2.5
2.70
63%
Under 2.5
1.59
17%
Over 3.5
5.88
83%
Under 3.5
1.20
7%
Over 4.5
14.29
93%
Under 4.5
1.08
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
46%
BTTS Yes
2.18
54%
BTTS No
1.85
Clean Sheet
32%
3.12
36%
2.81
Win to Nil
10%
10.22
13%
7.83
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 11.4 | 13.0 | 7.4 | 2.8 | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| 1 | 11.8 | 13.4 | 7.6 | 2.9 | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| 2 | 6.1 | 6.9 | 3.9 | 1.5 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 2.1 | 2.4 | 1.4 | 0.5 | 0.1 | – |
| 4 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.1 | – | – |
| 5 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.033
λ Away (xG)
1.138
Total xG
2.171
League avg home goals
1.344
League avg away goals
1.015
Swansea attack strength
0.949
Swansea defence strength
1.151
Sunderland attack strength
0.974
Sunderland defence strength
0.810
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
66 / 66