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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Regular Season - 41

Kick-off

Wed 9 Apr 2025

19:45

Venue

Swansea.com Stadium

Competition

Championship

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Swansea Win

58%

Swansea

1.73

25%

Draw

3.93

17%

Plymouth

5.95

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

16.3%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

12.6%

Home win

1 – 1

11.4%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.55

Swansea xG

Total xG

2.26

0.70

Plymouth xG

58%
25%
17%
SwanseaDrawPlymouth

1.73

58%

Home win

3.93

25%

Draw

5.95

17%

Away win

Goals Markets

66%

Over 1.5

1.52

34%

Under 1.5

2.94

39%

Over 2.5

2.56

61%

Under 2.5

1.64

19%

Over 3.5

5.26

81%

Under 3.5

1.23

8%

Over 4.5

12.50

92%

Under 4.5

1.09

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

40%

BTTS Yes

2.51

60%

BTTS No

1.66

Clean Sheet

50%

Swansea

2.02

21%

Plymouth

4.73

Win to Nil

29%

Swansea

3.50

4%

Plymouth

28.13

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.5 7.4 2.6 0.6 0.1
1 16.3 11.4 4.0 0.9 0.2
2 12.6 8.9 3.1 0.7 0.1
3 6.5 4.6 1.6 0.4 0.1
4 2.5 1.8 0.6 0.1
5 0.8 0.6 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.553
λ Away (xG) 0.703
Total xG 2.256
League avg home goals 1.290
League avg away goals 0.988
Swansea attack strength 0.931
Swansea defence strength 1.014
Plymouth attack strength 0.702
Plymouth defence strength 1.292
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 86 / 86