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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Regular Season - 46

Kick-off

Sat 3 May 2025

12:30

Venue

Swansea.com Stadium

Competition

Championship

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Swansea Win

55%

Swansea

1.82

28%

Draw

3.59

17%

Oxford United

5.86

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

18.5%

Home win

Most likely

0 – 0

13.4%

Draw

2 – 0

12.7%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.38

Swansea xG

Total xG

2.01

0.63

Oxford United xG

55%
28%
17%
SwanseaDrawOxford United

1.82

55%

Home win

3.59

28%

Draw

5.86

17%

Away win

Goals Markets

60%

Over 1.5

1.67

40%

Under 1.5

2.50

33%

Over 2.5

3.03

67%

Under 2.5

1.49

14%

Over 3.5

7.14

86%

Under 3.5

1.16

5%

Over 4.5

20.00

95%

Under 4.5

1.05

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

35%

BTTS Yes

2.86

65%

BTTS No

1.54

Clean Sheet

53%

Swansea

1.88

25%

Oxford United

3.96

Win to Nil

29%

Swansea

3.41

4%

Oxford United

23.22

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 13.4 8.5 2.7 0.6 0.1
1 18.5 11.7 3.7 0.8 0.1
2 12.7 8.0 2.5 0.5 0.1
3 5.8 3.7 1.2 0.2
4 2.0 1.3 0.4 0.1
5 0.6 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.377
λ Away (xG) 0.631
Total xG 2.008
League avg home goals 1.302
League avg away goals 1.004
Swansea attack strength 1.009
Swansea defence strength 0.887
Oxford United attack strength 0.708
Oxford United defence strength 1.048
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 91 / 45