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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Regular Season - 9

Kick-off

Sat 4 Oct 2025

15:00

Venue

Swansea.com Stadium

Competition

Championship

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Swansea Win

42%

Swansea

2.38

29%

Draw

3.51

29%

Leicester

3.40

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.6%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.1%

Home win

0 – 1

9.0%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.40

Swansea xG

Total xG

2.54

1.13

Leicester xG

42%
29%
29%
SwanseaDrawLeicester

2.38

42%

Home win

3.51

29%

Draw

3.40

29%

Away win

Goals Markets

72%

Over 1.5

1.39

28%

Under 1.5

3.57

47%

Over 2.5

2.13

53%

Under 2.5

1.89

25%

Over 3.5

4.00

75%

Under 3.5

1.33

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

52%

BTTS Yes

1.92

48%

BTTS No

2.09

Clean Sheet

32%

Swansea

3.10

25%

Leicester

4.06

Win to Nil

14%

Swansea

7.38

7%

Leicester

13.82

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.9 9.0 5.1 1.9 0.5 0.1
1 11.1 12.6 7.1 2.7 0.8 0.2
2 7.8 8.8 5.0 1.9 0.5 0.1
3 3.6 4.1 2.3 0.9 0.2 0.1
4 1.3 1.4 0.8 0.3 0.1
5 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.402
λ Away (xG) 1.133
Total xG 2.535
League avg home goals 1.189
League avg away goals 1.183
Swansea attack strength 1.040
Swansea defence strength 0.995
Leicester attack strength 0.963
Leicester defence strength 1.134
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 54 / 8