Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Regular Season - 39

Kick-off

Sat 21 Mar 2026

17:15

Venue

Swansea.com Stadium

Competition

Championship

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Swansea Win

39%

Swansea

2.58

29%

Draw

3.49

33%

Coventry

3.07

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.4%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.0%

Home win

0 – 1

9.0%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.38

Swansea xG

Total xG

2.62

1.25

Coventry xG

39%
29%
33%
SwanseaDrawCoventry

2.58

39%

Home win

3.49

29%

Draw

3.07

33%

Away win

Goals Markets

74%

Over 1.5

1.35

26%

Under 1.5

3.85

49%

Over 2.5

2.04

51%

Under 2.5

1.96

27%

Over 3.5

3.70

73%

Under 3.5

1.37

13%

Over 4.5

7.69

87%

Under 4.5

1.15

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

55%

BTTS Yes

1.83

45%

BTTS No

2.20

Clean Sheet

29%

Swansea

3.47

25%

Coventry

3.97

Win to Nil

11%

Swansea

8.95

8%

Coventry

12.22

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.2 9.0 5.6 2.3 0.7 0.2
1 10.0 12.4 7.7 3.2 1.0 0.2
2 6.9 8.6 5.3 2.2 0.7 0.2
3 3.2 4.0 2.5 1.0 0.3 0.1
4 1.1 1.4 0.8 0.4 0.1
5 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.380
λ Away (xG) 1.245
Total xG 2.625
League avg home goals 1.305
League avg away goals 1.167
Swansea attack strength 1.110
Swansea defence strength 0.843
Coventry attack strength 1.266
Coventry defence strength 0.952
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 84 / 84