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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Burnley Win
24%
4.22
33%
3.07
44%
2.28
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
0 – 1
17.9%
Away win
Most likely
0 – 0
16.5%
Draw
1 – 1
12.8%
Draw
Expected Goals & Win Odds
0.71
Swansea xG
Total xG
1.80
1.09
Burnley xG
SwanseaDrawBurnley
4.22
24%
Home win
3.07
33%
Draw
2.28
44%
Away win
Goals Markets
54%
Over 1.5
1.85
46%
Under 1.5
2.17
27%
Over 2.5
3.70
73%
Under 2.5
1.37
11%
Over 3.5
9.09
89%
Under 3.5
1.12
4%
Over 4.5
25.00
96%
Under 4.5
1.04
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
34%
BTTS Yes
2.93
66%
BTTS No
1.52
Clean Sheet
34%
2.96
49%
2.04
Win to Nil
8%
12.52
21%
4.67
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 16.5 | 17.9 | 9.7 | 3.5 | 1.0 | 0.2 |
| 1 | 11.8 | 12.8 | 7.0 | 2.5 | 0.7 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 4.2 | 4.6 | 2.5 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 1.0 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – |
| 4 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – | – | – |
| 5 | – | – | – | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
0.715
λ Away (xG)
1.086
Total xG
1.801
League avg home goals
1.342
League avg away goals
1.032
Swansea attack strength
0.978
Swansea defence strength
0.982
Burnley attack strength
1.071
Burnley defence strength
0.545
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
83 / 37