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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Regular Season - 27

Kick-off

Sat 17 Jan 2026

17:30

Venue

Swansea.com Stadium

Competition

Championship

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Swansea Win

58%

Swansea

1.72

25%

Draw

3.97

17%

Birmingham

6.05

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

15.2%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

12.4%

Home win

1 – 1

11.3%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.63

Swansea xG

Total xG

2.37

0.74

Birmingham xG

58%
25%
17%
SwanseaDrawBirmingham

1.72

58%

Home win

3.97

25%

Draw

6.05

17%

Away win

Goals Markets

68%

Over 1.5

1.47

32%

Under 1.5

3.12

42%

Over 2.5

2.38

58%

Under 2.5

1.72

22%

Over 3.5

4.55

78%

Under 3.5

1.28

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

42%

BTTS Yes

2.36

58%

BTTS No

1.74

Clean Sheet

48%

Swansea

2.10

20%

Birmingham

5.09

Win to Nil

28%

Swansea

3.60

3%

Birmingham

30.83

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.3 6.9 2.6 0.6 0.1
1 15.2 11.3 4.2 1.0 0.2
2 12.4 9.2 3.4 0.8 0.2
3 6.7 5.0 1.9 0.5 0.1
4 2.7 2.0 0.8 0.2
5 0.9 0.7 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.628
λ Away (xG) 0.742
Total xG 2.370
League avg home goals 1.361
League avg away goals 1.125
Swansea attack strength 0.935
Swansea defence strength 1.019
Birmingham attack strength 0.647
Birmingham defence strength 1.279
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 72 / 26