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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Regular Season - 31

Kick-off

Sat 8 Feb 2025

12:30

Venue

Stadium of Light

Competition

Championship

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Sunderland Win

51%

Sunderland

1.96

25%

Draw

3.97

24%

Watford

4.20

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.3%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.1%

Home win

2 – 1

9.7%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.72

Sunderland xG

Total xG

2.83

1.11

Watford xG

51%
25%
24%
SunderlandDrawWatford

1.96

51%

Home win

3.97

25%

Draw

4.20

24%

Away win

Goals Markets

77%

Over 1.5

1.30

23%

Under 1.5

4.35

54%

Over 2.5

1.85

46%

Under 2.5

2.17

32%

Over 3.5

3.12

68%

Under 3.5

1.47

16%

Over 4.5

6.25

84%

Under 4.5

1.19

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

56%

BTTS Yes

1.79

44%

BTTS No

2.26

Clean Sheet

33%

Sunderland

3.03

18%

Watford

5.60

Win to Nil

17%

Sunderland

5.95

4%

Watford

23.49

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.9 6.5 3.6 1.3 0.4 0.1
1 10.1 11.3 6.2 2.3 0.6 0.1
2 8.7 9.7 5.4 2.0 0.6 0.1
3 5.0 5.6 3.1 1.1 0.3 0.1
4 2.2 2.4 1.3 0.5 0.1
5 0.7 0.8 0.5 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.722
λ Away (xG) 1.110
Total xG 2.832
League avg home goals 1.377
League avg away goals 1.042
Sunderland attack strength 1.035
Sunderland defence strength 0.961
Watford attack strength 1.109
Watford defence strength 1.208
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 76 / 76