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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Regular Season - 42

Kick-off

Sat 12 Apr 2025

15:00

Venue

Stadium of Light

Competition

Championship

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Sunderland Win

54%

Sunderland

1.85

26%

Draw

3.90

20%

Swansea

4.95

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

14.4%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

11.9%

Draw

2 – 0

11.1%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.54

Sunderland xG

Total xG

2.37

0.83

Swansea xG

54%
26%
20%
SunderlandDrawSwansea

1.85

54%

Home win

3.90

26%

Draw

4.95

20%

Away win

Goals Markets

69%

Over 1.5

1.45

31%

Under 1.5

3.23

42%

Over 2.5

2.38

58%

Under 2.5

1.72

22%

Over 3.5

4.55

78%

Under 3.5

1.28

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

44%

BTTS Yes

2.25

56%

BTTS No

1.80

Clean Sheet

44%

Sunderland

2.29

21%

Swansea

4.68

Win to Nil

24%

Sunderland

4.24

4%

Swansea

23.17

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.3 7.7 3.2 0.9 0.2
1 14.4 11.9 5.0 1.4 0.3
2 11.1 9.2 3.8 1.1 0.2
3 5.7 4.7 2.0 0.5 0.1
4 2.2 1.8 0.8 0.2
5 0.7 0.6 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.543
λ Away (xG) 0.830
Total xG 2.373
League avg home goals 1.294
League avg away goals 0.991
Sunderland attack strength 1.021
Sunderland defence strength 0.943
Swansea attack strength 0.889
Swansea defence strength 1.168
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 87 / 87