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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Regular Season - 37

Kick-off

Tue 11 Mar 2025

19:45

Venue

Stadium of Light

Competition

Championship

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Sunderland Win

47%

Sunderland

2.12

28%

Draw

3.52

24%

Preston

4.09

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

14.4%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.8%

Draw

0 – 0

10.7%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.35

Sunderland xG

Total xG

2.23

0.89

Preston xG

47%
28%
24%
SunderlandDrawPreston

2.12

47%

Home win

3.52

28%

Draw

4.09

24%

Away win

Goals Markets

65%

Over 1.5

1.54

35%

Under 1.5

2.86

39%

Over 2.5

2.56

61%

Under 2.5

1.64

19%

Over 3.5

5.26

81%

Under 3.5

1.23

8%

Over 4.5

12.50

92%

Under 4.5

1.09

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

44%

BTTS Yes

2.28

56%

BTTS No

1.78

Clean Sheet

41%

Sunderland

2.43

26%

Preston

3.85

Win to Nil

19%

Sunderland

5.15

6%

Preston

15.73

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.7 9.5 4.2 1.2 0.3
1 14.4 12.8 5.7 1.7 0.4 0.1
2 9.7 8.6 3.8 1.1 0.3
3 4.4 3.9 1.7 0.5 0.1
4 1.5 1.3 0.6 0.2
5 0.4 0.4 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.347
λ Away (xG) 0.888
Total xG 2.235
League avg home goals 1.341
League avg away goals 1.029
Sunderland attack strength 1.013
Sunderland defence strength 0.979
Preston attack strength 0.882
Preston defence strength 0.991
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 82 / 82