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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Regular Season - 29

Kick-off

Sat 25 Jan 2025

15:00

Venue

Stadium of Light

Competition

Championship

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Sunderland Win

77%

Sunderland

1.30

18%

Draw

5.71

6%

Plymouth

17.27

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 0

17.1%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 0

15.8%

Home win

3 – 0

12.4%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.17

Sunderland xG

Total xG

2.62

0.45

Plymouth xG

77%
18%
SunderlandDrawPlymouth

1.30

77%

Home win

5.71

18%

Draw

17.27

6%

Away win

Goals Markets

74%

Over 1.5

1.35

26%

Under 1.5

3.85

49%

Over 2.5

2.04

51%

Under 2.5

1.96

27%

Over 3.5

3.70

73%

Under 3.5

1.37

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

33%

BTTS Yes

3.06

67%

BTTS No

1.49

Clean Sheet

64%

Sunderland

1.57

11%

Plymouth

8.72

Win to Nil

49%

Sunderland

2.05

1%

Plymouth

150.66

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.3 3.3 0.7 0.1
1 15.8 7.1 1.6 0.2
2 17.1 7.7 1.7 0.3
3 12.4 5.6 1.3 0.2
4 6.7 3.0 0.7 0.1
5 2.9 1.3 0.3

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.166
λ Away (xG) 0.451
Total xG 2.617
League avg home goals 1.371
League avg away goals 1.029
Sunderland attack strength 1.037
Sunderland defence strength 0.844
Plymouth attack strength 0.520
Plymouth defence strength 1.523
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 74 / 74