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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Stoke City Win
46%
2.17
29%
3.49
25%
3.95
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 0
14.6%
Home win
Most likely
1 – 1
12.9%
Draw
0 – 0
11.2%
Draw
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.30
Stoke City xG
Total xG
2.19
0.89
Swansea xG
Stoke CityDrawSwansea
2.17
46%
Home win
3.49
29%
Draw
3.95
25%
Away win
Goals Markets
64%
Over 1.5
1.56
36%
Under 1.5
2.78
37%
Over 2.5
2.70
63%
Under 2.5
1.59
18%
Over 3.5
5.56
82%
Under 3.5
1.22
7%
Over 4.5
14.29
93%
Under 4.5
1.08
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
43%
BTTS Yes
2.33
57%
BTTS No
1.75
Clean Sheet
41%
2.43
27%
3.67
Win to Nil
19%
5.27
7%
14.52
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 11.2 | 9.9 | 4.4 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 14.6 | 12.9 | 5.7 | 1.7 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 9.5 | 8.4 | 3.7 | 1.1 | 0.2 | – |
| 3 | 4.1 | 3.7 | 1.6 | 0.5 | 0.1 | – |
| 4 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 0.2 | – | – |
| 5 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.301
λ Away (xG)
0.887
Total xG
2.188
League avg home goals
1.357
League avg away goals
1.035
Stoke City attack strength
0.782
Stoke City defence strength
1.015
Swansea attack strength
0.844
Swansea defence strength
1.226
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
77 / 78