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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Regular Season - 39

Kick-off

Sat 29 Mar 2025

15:00

Venue

bet365 Stadium

Competition

Championship

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Stoke City Win

40%

Stoke City

2.48

32%

Draw

3.14

28%

QPR

3.59

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

15.9%

Home win

Most likely

0 – 0

14.9%

Draw

1 – 1

13.3%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.07

Stoke City xG

Total xG

1.91

0.83

QPR xG

40%
32%
28%
Stoke CityDrawQPR

2.48

40%

Home win

3.14

32%

Draw

3.59

28%

Away win

Goals Markets

57%

Over 1.5

1.75

43%

Under 1.5

2.33

30%

Over 2.5

3.33

70%

Under 2.5

1.43

13%

Over 3.5

7.69

87%

Under 3.5

1.15

4%

Over 4.5

25.00

96%

Under 4.5

1.04

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

37%

BTTS Yes

2.67

63%

BTTS No

1.60

Clean Sheet

43%

Stoke City

2.30

34%

QPR

2.92

Win to Nil

17%

Stoke City

5.72

10%

QPR

10.48

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 14.9 12.4 5.2 1.4 0.3 0.1
1 15.9 13.3 5.6 1.5 0.3 0.1
2 8.5 7.1 3.0 0.8 0.2
3 3.0 2.5 1.1 0.3 0.1
4 0.8 0.7 0.3 0.1
5 0.2 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.070
λ Away (xG) 0.835
Total xG 1.905
League avg home goals 1.324
League avg away goals 1.024
Stoke City attack strength 0.833
Stoke City defence strength 1.000
QPR attack strength 0.816
QPR defence strength 0.969
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 84 / 84