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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Regular Season - 45

Kick-off

Sat 25 Apr 2026

15:00

Venue

Bet365 Stadium

Competition

Championship

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Stoke City Win

53%

Stoke City

1.87

24%

Draw

4.11

22%

Portsmouth

4.49

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

9.8%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.7%

Home win

1 – 0

8.0%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.98

Stoke City xG

Total xG

3.21

1.23

Portsmouth xG

53%
24%
22%
Stoke CityDrawPortsmouth

1.87

53%

Home win

4.11

24%

Draw

4.49

22%

Away win

Goals Markets

83%

Over 1.5

1.20

17%

Under 1.5

5.88

62%

Over 2.5

1.61

38%

Under 2.5

2.63

40%

Over 3.5

2.50

60%

Under 3.5

1.67

22%

Over 4.5

4.55

78%

Under 4.5

1.28

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

62%

BTTS Yes

1.61

38%

BTTS No

2.65

Clean Sheet

29%

Stoke City

3.42

14%

Portsmouth

7.22

Win to Nil

16%

Stoke City

6.41

3%

Portsmouth

32.44

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.0 5.0 3.1 1.3 0.4 0.1
1 8.0 9.8 6.1 2.5 0.8 0.2
2 7.9 9.7 6.0 2.5 0.8 0.2
3 5.2 6.4 3.9 1.6 0.5 0.1
4 2.6 3.2 2.0 0.8 0.2 0.1
5 1.0 1.3 0.8 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.977
λ Away (xG) 1.231
Total xG 3.208
League avg home goals 1.296
League avg away goals 1.179
Stoke City attack strength 1.092
Stoke City defence strength 1.133
Portsmouth attack strength 0.922
Portsmouth defence strength 1.398
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 90 / 90