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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Regular Season - 34

Kick-off

Wed 25 Feb 2026

20:00

Venue

Bet365 Stadium

Competition

Championship

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Stoke City Win

37%

Stoke City

2.71

35%

Draw

2.88

28%

Oxford United

3.52

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

15.0%

Home win

Most likely

0 – 0

14.3%

Draw

1 – 1

13.4%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.05

Stoke City xG

Total xG

1.95

0.89

Oxford United xG

37%
35%
28%
Stoke CityDrawOxford United

2.71

37%

Home win

2.88

35%

Draw

3.52

28%

Away win

Goals Markets

58%

Over 1.5

1.72

42%

Under 1.5

2.38

31%

Over 2.5

3.23

69%

Under 2.5

1.45

13%

Over 3.5

7.69

87%

Under 3.5

1.15

5%

Over 4.5

20.00

95%

Under 4.5

1.05

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

40%

BTTS Yes

2.49

60%

BTTS No

1.67

Clean Sheet

41%

Stoke City

2.44

35%

Oxford United

2.86

Win to Nil

15%

Stoke City

6.63

10%

Oxford United

10.07

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 14.3 12.8 5.7 1.7 0.4 0.1
1 15.0 13.4 6.0 1.8 0.4 0.1
2 7.9 7.1 3.2 0.9 0.2
3 2.8 2.5 1.1 0.3 0.1
4 0.7 0.7 0.3 0.1
5 0.2 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.052
λ Away (xG) 0.893
Total xG 1.945
League avg home goals 1.321
League avg away goals 1.187
Stoke City attack strength 0.870
Stoke City defence strength 0.989
Oxford United attack strength 0.761
Oxford United defence strength 0.915
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 79 / 79