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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Regular Season - 31

Kick-off

Tue 25 Feb 2025

19:45

Venue

bet365 Stadium

Competition

Championship

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Stoke City Win

39%

Stoke City

2.58

25%

Draw

3.96

36%

Middlesbrough

2.79

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.6%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

8.6%

Home win

1 – 0

8.2%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.48

Stoke City xG

Total xG

2.89

1.41

Middlesbrough xG

39%
25%
36%
Stoke CityDrawMiddlesbrough

2.58

39%

Home win

3.96

25%

Draw

2.79

36%

Away win

Goals Markets

78%

Over 1.5

1.28

22%

Under 1.5

4.55

55%

Over 2.5

1.82

45%

Under 2.5

2.22

33%

Over 3.5

3.03

67%

Under 3.5

1.49

17%

Over 4.5

5.88

83%

Under 4.5

1.20

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

59%

BTTS Yes

1.71

41%

BTTS No

2.41

Clean Sheet

24%

Stoke City

4.10

23%

Middlesbrough

4.38

Win to Nil

9%

Stoke City

10.56

8%

Middlesbrough

12.21

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.6 7.9 5.5 2.6 0.9 0.3
1 8.2 11.6 8.2 3.9 1.4 0.4
2 6.1 8.6 6.0 2.8 1.0 0.3
3 3.0 4.2 3.0 1.4 0.5 0.1
4 1.1 1.6 1.1 0.5 0.2 0.1
5 0.3 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.477
λ Away (xG) 1.411
Total xG 2.888
League avg home goals 1.370
League avg away goals 1.031
Stoke City attack strength 0.890
Stoke City defence strength 1.021
Middlesbrough attack strength 1.341
Middlesbrough defence strength 1.211
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 79 / 79