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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Regular Season - 33

Kick-off

Sat 21 Feb 2026

12:30

Venue

Bet365 Stadium

Competition

Championship

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Stoke City Win

44%

Stoke City

2.26

29%

Draw

3.47

27%

Leicester

3.71

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.6%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

12.0%

Home win

0 – 1

8.9%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.42

Stoke City xG

Total xG

2.47

1.05

Leicester xG

44%
29%
27%
Stoke CityDrawLeicester

2.26

44%

Home win

3.47

29%

Draw

3.71

27%

Away win

Goals Markets

71%

Over 1.5

1.41

29%

Under 1.5

3.45

45%

Over 2.5

2.22

55%

Under 2.5

1.82

24%

Over 3.5

4.17

76%

Under 3.5

1.32

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

50%

BTTS Yes

1.99

50%

BTTS No

2.01

Clean Sheet

35%

Stoke City

2.86

24%

Leicester

4.12

Win to Nil

15%

Stoke City

6.47

7%

Leicester

15.30

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.5 8.9 4.7 1.6 0.4 0.1
1 12.0 12.6 6.6 2.3 0.6 0.1
2 8.5 8.9 4.7 1.6 0.4 0.1
3 4.0 4.2 2.2 0.8 0.2
4 1.4 1.5 0.8 0.3 0.1
5 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.416
λ Away (xG) 1.052
Total xG 2.468
League avg home goals 1.304
League avg away goals 1.164
Stoke City attack strength 0.840
Stoke City defence strength 0.935
Leicester attack strength 0.967
Leicester defence strength 1.293
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 78 / 32