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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Regular Season - 13

Kick-off

Sat 1 Nov 2025

15:00

Venue

Bet365 Stadium

Competition

Championship

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Bristol City Win

31%

Stoke City

3.22

32%

Draw

3.14

37%

Bristol City

2.70

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 0

15.1%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

15.1%

Away win

1 – 0

13.4%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.89

Stoke City xG

Total xG

1.89

1.00

Bristol City xG

31%
32%
37%
Stoke CityDrawBristol City

3.22

31%

Home win

3.14

32%

Draw

2.70

37%

Away win

Goals Markets

56%

Over 1.5

1.79

44%

Under 1.5

2.27

29%

Over 2.5

3.45

71%

Under 2.5

1.41

12%

Over 3.5

8.33

88%

Under 3.5

1.14

4%

Over 4.5

25.00

96%

Under 4.5

1.04

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

37%

BTTS Yes

2.69

63%

BTTS No

1.59

Clean Sheet

37%

Stoke City

2.72

41%

Bristol City

2.43

Win to Nil

11%

Stoke City

8.74

15%

Bristol City

6.57

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 15.1 15.1 7.6 2.5 0.6 0.1
1 13.4 13.4 6.7 2.2 0.6 0.1
2 6.0 6.0 3.0 1.0 0.2
3 1.8 1.8 0.9 0.3 0.1
4 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.889
λ Away (xG) 1.000
Total xG 1.889
League avg home goals 1.178
League avg away goals 1.123
Stoke City attack strength 0.950
Stoke City defence strength 0.832
Bristol City attack strength 1.070
Bristol City defence strength 0.794
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 58 / 58