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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Regular Season - 34

Kick-off

Tue 24 Feb 2026

20:00

Venue

St. Mary's Stadium

Competition

Championship

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Southampton Win

37%

Southampton

2.69

34%

Draw

2.91

28%

QPR

3.52

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

15.1%

Home win

Most likely

0 – 0

14.2%

Draw

1 – 1

13.4%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.06

Southampton xG

Total xG

1.95

0.89

QPR xG

37%
34%
28%
SouthamptonDrawQPR

2.69

37%

Home win

2.91

34%

Draw

3.52

28%

Away win

Goals Markets

58%

Over 1.5

1.72

42%

Under 1.5

2.38

31%

Over 2.5

3.23

69%

Under 2.5

1.45

13%

Over 3.5

7.69

87%

Under 3.5

1.15

5%

Over 4.5

20.00

95%

Under 4.5

1.05

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

40%

BTTS Yes

2.49

60%

BTTS No

1.67

Clean Sheet

41%

Southampton

2.44

35%

QPR

2.88

Win to Nil

15%

Southampton

6.56

10%

QPR

10.15

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 14.2 12.7 5.7 1.7 0.4 0.1
1 15.1 13.4 6.0 1.8 0.4 0.1
2 8.0 7.1 3.2 0.9 0.2
3 2.8 2.5 1.1 0.3 0.1
4 0.7 0.7 0.3 0.1
5 0.2 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.059
λ Away (xG) 0.892
Total xG 1.951
League avg home goals 1.299
League avg away goals 1.197
Southampton attack strength 0.902
Southampton defence strength 0.881
QPR attack strength 0.846
QPR defence strength 0.903
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 33 / 79