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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Regular Season - 40

Kick-off

Tue 28 Apr 2026

19:45

Venue

St. Mary's Stadium

Competition

Championship

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Southampton Win

50%

Southampton

2.00

27%

Draw

3.65

23%

Ipswich

4.42

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.5%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.8%

Home win

2 – 1

9.6%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.67

Southampton xG

Total xG

2.74

1.07

Ipswich xG

50%
27%
23%
SouthamptonDrawIpswich

2.00

50%

Home win

3.65

27%

Draw

4.42

23%

Away win

Goals Markets

76%

Over 1.5

1.32

24%

Under 1.5

4.17

52%

Over 2.5

1.92

48%

Under 2.5

2.08

29%

Over 3.5

3.45

71%

Under 3.5

1.41

14%

Over 4.5

7.14

86%

Under 4.5

1.16

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

55%

BTTS Yes

1.82

45%

BTTS No

2.21

Clean Sheet

34%

Southampton

2.90

19%

Ipswich

5.32

Win to Nil

17%

Southampton

5.81

4%

Ipswich

23.52

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.5 6.9 3.7 1.3 0.3 0.1
1 10.8 11.5 6.1 2.2 0.6 0.1
2 9.0 9.6 5.1 1.8 0.5 0.1
3 5.0 5.4 2.9 1.0 0.3 0.1
4 2.1 2.2 1.2 0.4 0.1
5 0.7 0.8 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.672
λ Away (xG) 1.066
Total xG 2.738
League avg home goals 1.310
League avg away goals 1.200
Southampton attack strength 1.227
Southampton defence strength 0.791
Ipswich attack strength 1.123
Ipswich defence strength 1.041
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 44 / 44