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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Regular Season - 27

Kick-off

Sat 17 Jan 2026

15:00

Venue

St. Mary's Stadium

Competition

Championship

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Hull City Win

35%

Southampton

2.83

26%

Draw

3.80

38%

Hull City

2.61

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.0%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

8.8%

Away win

1 – 2

8.5%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.36

Southampton xG

Total xG

2.78

1.43

Hull City xG

35%
26%
38%
SouthamptonDrawHull City

2.83

35%

Home win

3.80

26%

Draw

2.61

38%

Away win

Goals Markets

77%

Over 1.5

1.30

23%

Under 1.5

4.35

53%

Over 2.5

1.89

47%

Under 2.5

2.13

30%

Over 3.5

3.33

70%

Under 3.5

1.43

15%

Over 4.5

6.67

85%

Under 4.5

1.18

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

57%

BTTS Yes

1.76

43%

BTTS No

2.32

Clean Sheet

24%

Southampton

4.16

26%

Hull City

3.89

Win to Nil

9%

Southampton

11.76

10%

Hull City

10.15

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.2 8.8 6.3 3.0 1.1 0.3
1 8.4 12.0 8.5 4.0 1.4 0.4
2 5.7 8.1 5.8 2.8 1.0 0.3
3 2.6 3.7 2.6 1.2 0.4 0.1
4 0.9 1.3 0.9 0.4 0.2
5 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.359
λ Away (xG) 1.425
Total xG 2.784
League avg home goals 1.396
League avg away goals 1.140
Southampton attack strength 0.945
Southampton defence strength 0.966
Hull City attack strength 1.293
Hull City defence strength 1.031
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 26 / 71