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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Regular Season - 25

Kick-off

Wed 1 Jan 2025

15:00

Venue

Hillsborough

Competition

Championship

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Sheffield Wednesday Win

46%

Sheffield Wednesday

2.20

29%

Draw

3.43

25%

Derby

3.95

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

13.1%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.7%

Draw

0 – 0

9.4%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.39

Sheffield Wednesday xG

Total xG

2.36

0.97

Derby xG

46%
29%
25%
Sheffield WednesdayDrawDerby

2.20

46%

Home win

3.43

29%

Draw

3.95

25%

Away win

Goals Markets

68%

Over 1.5

1.47

32%

Under 1.5

3.12

42%

Over 2.5

2.38

58%

Under 2.5

1.72

21%

Over 3.5

4.76

79%

Under 3.5

1.27

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

48%

BTTS Yes

2.09

52%

BTTS No

1.91

Clean Sheet

38%

Sheffield Wednesday

2.65

25%

Derby

4.02

Win to Nil

17%

Sheffield Wednesday

5.81

6%

Derby

15.88

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.4 9.2 4.5 1.4 0.4 0.1
1 13.1 12.7 6.2 2.0 0.5 0.1
2 9.1 8.9 4.3 1.4 0.3 0.1
3 4.2 4.1 2.0 0.6 0.2
4 1.5 1.4 0.7 0.2 0.1
5 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.391
λ Away (xG) 0.973
Total xG 2.364
League avg home goals 1.401
League avg away goals 1.017
Sheffield Wednesday attack strength 0.923
Sheffield Wednesday defence strength 1.172
Derby attack strength 0.816
Derby defence strength 1.076
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 70 / 24