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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Regular Season - 6

Kick-off

Sat 20 Sep 2025

12:30

Venue

Loftus Road

Competition

Championship

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

QPR Win

38%

QPR

2.65

25%

Draw

4.02

37%

Stoke City

2.67

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.6%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

8.4%

Away win

2 – 1

8.4%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.45

QPR xG

Total xG

2.88

1.44

Stoke City xG

38%
25%
37%
QPRDrawStoke City

2.65

38%

Home win

4.02

25%

Draw

2.67

37%

Away win

Goals Markets

78%

Over 1.5

1.28

22%

Under 1.5

4.55

55%

Over 2.5

1.82

45%

Under 2.5

2.22

33%

Over 3.5

3.03

67%

Under 3.5

1.49

17%

Over 4.5

5.88

83%

Under 4.5

1.20

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

58%

BTTS Yes

1.71

42%

BTTS No

2.40

Clean Sheet

24%

QPR

4.21

24%

Stoke City

4.25

Win to Nil

9%

QPR

11.15

9%

Stoke City

11.37

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.6 8.0 5.8 2.8 1.0 0.3
1 8.1 11.6 8.4 4.0 1.4 0.4
2 5.8 8.4 6.0 2.9 1.0 0.3
3 2.8 4.1 2.9 1.4 0.5 0.1
4 1.0 1.5 1.1 0.5 0.2 0.1
5 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.447
λ Away (xG) 1.438
Total xG 2.885
League avg home goals 1.284
League avg away goals 1.210
QPR attack strength 1.140
QPR defence strength 1.073
Stoke City attack strength 1.107
Stoke City defence strength 0.988
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 51 / 51