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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Regular Season - 35

Kick-off

Tue 4 Mar 2025

19:45

Venue

Deepdale

Competition

Championship

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Preston Win

58%

Preston

1.72

25%

Draw

4.00

17%

Swansea

5.93

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

14.7%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

12.1%

Home win

1 – 1

11.3%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.65

Preston xG

Total xG

2.42

0.77

Swansea xG

58%
25%
17%
PrestonDrawSwansea

1.72

58%

Home win

4.00

25%

Draw

5.93

17%

Away win

Goals Markets

70%

Over 1.5

1.43

30%

Under 1.5

3.33

44%

Over 2.5

2.27

56%

Under 2.5

1.79

23%

Over 3.5

4.35

77%

Under 3.5

1.30

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

44%

BTTS Yes

2.29

56%

BTTS No

1.78

Clean Sheet

46%

Preston

2.16

19%

Swansea

5.22

Win to Nil

27%

Preston

3.70

3%

Swansea

30.99

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.9 6.8 2.6 0.7 0.1
1 14.7 11.3 4.3 1.1 0.2
2 12.1 9.3 3.6 0.9 0.2
3 6.7 5.1 2.0 0.5 0.1
4 2.8 2.1 0.8 0.2
5 0.9 0.7 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.653
λ Away (xG) 0.768
Total xG 2.421
League avg home goals 1.351
League avg away goals 1.033
Preston attack strength 0.935
Preston defence strength 0.862
Swansea attack strength 0.862
Swansea defence strength 1.308
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 80 / 80