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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Regular Season - 40

Kick-off

Sat 5 Apr 2025

15:00

Venue

Deepdale

Competition

Championship

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Preston Win

52%

Preston

1.91

27%

Draw

3.72

21%

Stoke City

4.83

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

15.4%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.2%

Draw

2 – 0

11.1%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.44

Preston xG

Total xG

2.24

0.80

Stoke City xG

52%
27%
21%
PrestonDrawStoke City

1.91

52%

Home win

3.72

27%

Draw

4.83

21%

Away win

Goals Markets

66%

Over 1.5

1.52

34%

Under 1.5

2.94

39%

Over 2.5

2.56

61%

Under 2.5

1.64

19%

Over 3.5

5.26

81%

Under 3.5

1.23

8%

Over 4.5

12.50

92%

Under 4.5

1.09

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

42%

BTTS Yes

2.38

58%

BTTS No

1.72

Clean Sheet

45%

Preston

2.22

24%

Stoke City

4.23

Win to Nil

24%

Preston

4.24

5%

Stoke City

20.43

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.6 8.5 3.4 0.9 0.2
1 15.4 12.2 4.9 1.3 0.3
2 11.1 8.8 3.5 0.9 0.2
3 5.3 4.2 1.7 0.4 0.1
4 1.9 1.5 0.6 0.2
5 0.6 0.4 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.443
λ Away (xG) 0.797
Total xG 2.240
League avg home goals 1.318
League avg away goals 1.016
Preston attack strength 0.888
Preston defence strength 0.854
Stoke City attack strength 0.918
Stoke City defence strength 1.232
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 85 / 85