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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Regular Season - 5

Kick-off

Sat 13 Sep 2025

12:30

Venue

Deepdale

Competition

Championship

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Middlesbrough Win

34%

Preston

2.95

27%

Draw

3.64

39%

Middlesbrough

2.59

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.0%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

11.2%

Away win

1 – 0

10.3%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.16

Preston xG

Total xG

2.42

1.26

Middlesbrough xG

34%
27%
39%
PrestonDrawMiddlesbrough

2.95

34%

Home win

3.64

27%

Draw

2.59

39%

Away win

Goals Markets

70%

Over 1.5

1.43

30%

Under 1.5

3.33

44%

Over 2.5

2.27

56%

Under 2.5

1.79

23%

Over 3.5

4.35

77%

Under 3.5

1.30

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

49%

BTTS Yes

2.03

51%

BTTS No

1.97

Clean Sheet

28%

Preston

3.52

31%

Middlesbrough

3.19

Win to Nil

10%

Preston

10.37

12%

Middlesbrough

8.27

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.9 11.2 7.0 3.0 0.9 0.2
1 10.3 13.0 8.2 3.4 1.1 0.3
2 6.0 7.5 4.7 2.0 0.6 0.2
3 2.3 2.9 1.8 0.8 0.2 0.1
4 0.7 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.1
5 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.161
λ Away (xG) 1.258
Total xG 2.419
League avg home goals 1.326
League avg away goals 1.185
Preston attack strength 0.989
Preston defence strength 0.901
Middlesbrough attack strength 1.178
Middlesbrough defence strength 0.885
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 50 / 50