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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · Regular Season - 27

Kick-off

Sat 17 Jan 2026

15:00

Venue

Deepdale

Competition

Championship

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Preston Win

38%

Preston

2.67

28%

Draw

3.55

34%

Derby

2.92

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.9%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.7%

Home win

0 – 1

10.1%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.27

Preston xG

Total xG

2.47

1.20

Derby xG

38%
28%
34%
PrestonDrawDerby

2.67

38%

Home win

3.55

28%

Draw

2.92

34%

Away win

Goals Markets

71%

Over 1.5

1.41

29%

Under 1.5

3.45

45%

Over 2.5

2.22

55%

Under 2.5

1.82

24%

Over 3.5

4.17

76%

Under 3.5

1.32

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

51%

BTTS Yes

1.97

49%

BTTS No

2.03

Clean Sheet

30%

Preston

3.33

28%

Derby

3.56

Win to Nil

11%

Preston

8.88

10%

Derby

10.39

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.4 10.1 6.1 2.4 0.7 0.2
1 10.7 12.9 7.7 3.1 0.9 0.2
2 6.8 8.2 4.9 2.0 0.6 0.1
3 2.9 3.5 2.1 0.8 0.3 0.1
4 0.9 1.1 0.7 0.3 0.1
5 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.271
λ Away (xG) 1.203
Total xG 2.474
League avg home goals 1.396
League avg away goals 1.140
Preston attack strength 1.000
Preston defence strength 0.919
Derby attack strength 1.148
Derby defence strength 0.910
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 72 / 72